Table of Content
Week 10 of the NFL season kicked off Thursday night with the Washington Commanders securing a 24-21 victory over the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. As the rest of the league prepares for Sunday’s action, our handicapping team of Matt Jacob, Jeremy Pond, and Matt Russell shares their top six best bets for the upcoming games.
New England Patriots at Detroit Lions
Jeremy Pond notes that while the Patriots are managing several injuries ahead of their matchup in Munich, running back Corey Kiner is positioned for a breakout performance. Despite Rhamondre Stevenson returning to limited practice, Pond expects Kiner to handle the majority of the carries. Kiner has shown productivity recently, including a season-high 57 rushing yards against the New York Jets and a 52-yard effort against Las Vegas. Pond recommends betting on Kiner to record 50+ rushing yards at -115 odds via BetMGM.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Matt Russell highlights the point spread for this matchup, noting that the Titans are 10.5-point underdogs at home. Russell argues that the current market hype surrounding the Jaguars—fueled by recent defensive acquisitions like Jordan Davis and Jessie Bates III—may be excessive. While the Titans have struggled, Russell believes they are showing improvement and that the line should be closer to a touchdown. He suggests taking the Titans +10.5 at -108 odds via DraftKings.
Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders
Matt Jacob is skeptical of Raiders rookie quarterback Fernando Mendoza, who is set to make his first NFL start against the league’s top-ranked pass defense. The Seahawks are allowing only 155.1 passing yards per game and have limited most opposing quarterbacks to under 190 yards. Jacob anticipates the Raiders will prioritize safe, short passes to protect their young signal-caller, keeping Mendoza under his yardage projection. He recommends betting on Mendoza under 189.5 passing yards at -135 odds via BetMGM.
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
Jacob also analyzes the low total for the Rams-Cardinals game, noting that both teams are dealing with significant offensive absences, including Davante Adams and Puka Nacua. With rookie Carson Beck starting for Arizona and the Rams’ defense playing at a high level, Jacob expects a low-scoring affair. Citing the historical trend of the under hitting in games with totals of 40 or less, he suggests betting on the under 39.5 points at -108 odds via BetMGM.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
Pond points to the emergence of Steelers tight end Darnell Washington as a key factor for Sunday’s game. Washington recorded a season-high 94 receiving yards last week and previously found success against the Bengals with 67 yards in their September meeting. Given that Washington has recorded at least three catches in four of his last six games, Pond recommends betting on him to go over 2.5 receptions at -102 and over 28.5 receiving yards at -114, both available via FanDuel.
All odds provided are subject to change as the weekend approaches.
