Travel plans for several college football programs faced disruptions following a ground stoppage issued by the Federal Aviation Administration on Friday afternoon. Although the restriction was lifted later that evening, the schedule adjustment means nearly all games will proceed on Saturday, with the exception of the matchup between Oklahoma and No. 19 Ole Miss scheduled for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. Ahead of the weekend, the Oklahoma Sooners enter as 2.5-point favorites, while key Saturday games feature No. 21 LSU heavily favored by 4.5 points against No. 6 Texas in their first SEC meeting, and the No. 9 Indiana Hoosiers carrying a 9.5-point advantage over the No. 18 USC Trojans.
Top Computer Model Predictions for Week 11
SportsLine’s advanced computer model, which simulates every Football Bowl Subdivision game 10,000 times to evaluate spreads, money lines, and over/under totals at betting sites, has released its selections for every matchup on the slate. Among the standout recommendations from the model is 13th-ranked Wake Forest covering the 1.5-point spread against SMU in a noon ET kickoff. The Demon Deacons hold an ACC-best 7-2 record against the spread, which also ties for the fifth-best mark across the entire FBS division, having won five consecutive games by margins exceeding 20 points. Their only defeat this season came against then-No. 5 Miami in a contest where Wake Forest still successfully covered. Meanwhile, SMU surrendered 28 points in consecutive games against ACC opponents that hold losing conference records, leading the computer model to project that Wake Forest covers in well over 60% of its simulations.
Oregon and Additional Matchup Outlooks
Another major game highlighted by the model involves the No. 16 Oregon Ducks, who are favored by 10.5 points to win and cover against Michigan during a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff on Saturday. The Ducks re-entered the College Football Playoff conversation following a victory at Ohio State in Week 10, marking their second consecutive win and cover against a ranked opponent. Conversely, the Michigan Wolverines dropped their previous game to rival Michigan State and are currently focused on securing bowl eligibility. Simulations from SportsLine indicate that Oregon will win by a margin of 16 points, covering the spread in over 60% of runs, while the over/under play of Over 38.5 points successfully clears in more than 70% of scenarios.
The broader schedule for Week 11 features several other notable point spreads and totals across major conferences. Saturday’s lineup includes Duke visiting Miami as 14-point underdogs with a 54.5 total, Northwestern facing Ohio State (-14, 44.5), Tennessee playing Texas A&M (+1.5, 43.5), and Boston College traveling to Notre Dame (-29.5, 51.5). Additional matchups span Missouri at Georgia (-16.5, 47.5), Florida at Kentucky (-3, 52.5), South Carolina at Arkansas (+7.5, 51.5), Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (-3.5, 73.5), and a delayed contest featuring No. 2 Utah visiting No. 23 Arizona (+1.5, 55.5) pushed back to a 10:30 p.m. ET start, concluding with the aforementioned Ole Miss at Oklahoma showdown on Sunday.
