The Milwaukee Brewers will attempt to secure their first championship in franchise history when they face the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 5 of the 2026 World Series on Wednesday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. First pitch is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET, with Milwaukee holding a 3-1 series advantage following Tampa Bay’s 4-3 victory in 12 innings on Tuesday to avoid elimination.
Pitching Matchup and Betting Lines
Milwaukee enters the contest with a 103-59 record and is expected to hand the ball to ace Jacob Misiorowski, who posted a 16-5 record alongside a 1.80 ERA this season. The Rays (98-64) will send ace Drew Rasmussen to the mound, coming off a 16-5 season with a 2.67 ERA, as they look to extend the series.
As reported by CBS Sports, betting odds list Milwaukee as a -142 favorite on the money line, while Tampa Bay sits at +127. The total run line is set at 6.5, and the run line places the Brewers at -1.5 (+130).
Model Predictions and Key Player Stats
Computer simulations conducted 10,000 times by SportsLine lean toward the over on 6.5 total runs (-106), projecting an average of 8.5 combined runs. The over outcome hit in 70 percent of the model’s simulations and has landed in four of the past six meetings between the two franchises. Additionally, the over has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games and four of Tampa Bay’s last seven outings.
Individual projections for the matchup anticipate Jackson Chourio and Jake Bauers each collecting 1.5 or more total bases for Milwaukee. For Tampa Bay, Yandy Diaz, Junior Caminero, and Jonathan Aranda are each projected to record 1.4 or more total bases in Game 5.
