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A surge in overtime games across the NFL provides unique betting opportunities as the league reaches Week 10 of the 2026 season. Bettors looking for massive returns can target close spreads or utilize advanced computer models to construct lucrative parlay tickets.
Overtime Trends and Longshot Strategies
Nine games have gone to overtime over the recent five weeks, establishing a consistent trend across the league. Wagering on an overtime outcome yields a return of roughly +1300 for games featuring a spread of a field goal or less, while games with a touchdown-plus spread offer payouts around +1800. Interconference matchups account for six of the last eight overtime contests this season, highlighting potential targets for Sunday such as Patriots versus Lions, Chiefs versus Falcons, and Raiders versus Seahawks. Additional plus-money opportunities include touchdown scorer props and exact team touchdown totals.
Computer Model Parlay Predictions
SportsLine’s computer simulation model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 10 on a 62-52 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. The model has locked in a seven-leg longshot NFL parlay that offers a payout of nearly $2.2 million on a $10 bet.
Top Week 10 Parlay Selections
One focal point of the seven-leg parlay is backing Los Angeles Rams running back Blake Corum as an anytime touchdown scorer against the Arizona Cardinals at +115 odds. Corum enters the matchup having scored in five consecutive games, while Arizona surrenders the second-most points per game in the league. His offensive workload has grown to an average of 13.3 touches over the last three weeks, up from 8.3 touches over his prior four games. That usage is expected to rise further with Puka Nacua sidelined by an injury, leaving the Rams without any healthy receivers who have more than 11 catches available for Sunday.
Corum has recorded all 11 of his redzone touches during his current five-game scoring streak, a stretch that includes a 15-yard receiving touchdown against Arizona in Week 6. Three of the last five touchdowns allowed by the Cardinals came via the ground game, and Corum has accumulated three total touchdowns over his last three appearances against them. The model projects Corum for 0.49 touchdowns, ranking second-highest among all players in the Rams-Cardinals matchup. The complete seven-leg parlay incorporates six additional predictions, including two winning margin forecasts that each return around +400.
