Basketball

2026 NBA Picks, Odds, Best Bets: Experts Target Julius Randle

2026 NBA Picks, Odds, Best Bets: Experts Target Julius Randle

Tuesday features a four-game NBA slate headlined by a top Eastern Conference matchup between the New York Knicks and the Detroit Pistons at 8 p.m. ET. The busy evening also includes the Brooklyn Nets hosting the Boston Celtics at 7:30 p.m. ET, the Sacramento Kings facing the San Antonio Spurs at 8 p.m. ET, and the Portland Trail Blazers visiting the Los Angeles Lakers at 11 p.m. ET. Ahead of the action, the SportsLine Projection Model and a team of experts have released their top picks, player props, and best bets.

Model and Expert Predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated picks since 2018, featuring five consecutive seasons of four-digit profits. The model enters the second week of the 2026-27 season riding a 26-10 run covering 72% of top-rated spread selections on betting sites dating back to the previous season.

For Tuesday night, the expert consensus and model have highlighted a three-leg parlay with odds of +595. The recommended selections target Julius Randle for the Nets, the total points in the Knicks-Pistons game, and Deni Avdija for the Trail Blazers.

Player Props and Game Analysis

SportsLine NBA expert Mike Barner highlighted Brooklyn’s Julius Randle, taking the Over of 19.5 total points at -102 odds. Randle scored only 10 points in limited 24-minute action during a lopsided loss to the Pacers on Sunday, but opened the season with 33 and 23 points. Barner noted that Randle combined for 31 shot attempts and 19 free throws in those first two contests, and his high usage rate should persist due to the roster’s overall talent level. Furthermore, Barner pointed out that facing the Celtics on the second night of a back-to-back should allow the Nets to keep the score close enough for Randle to hit the Over.

In the matchup between the Pistons and Knicks, the SportsLine Projection Model is backing the Under of 219.5 total points at -110 odds, with the Under hitting in 58.2% of simulations. The defending champion Knicks have struggled offensively to start the season, ranking last in the league with 101.7 points per game and 29th with a 40.8% shooting percentage. However, New York ranks ninth in scoring defense by allowing 108 points per contest. They face a Detroit squad that ranked third in scoring defense last season by allowing 109.6 points per game and currently ranks fifth this season by allowing 105.7 points per contest. The Under has a 3-0 record in Knicks games this year, following a trend where two of their three head-to-head matchups went Under last season.

Prop Bet Guy Doug selected Trail Blazers wing Deni Avdija to go Over 21.5 total points at -119 odds. Avdija has scored 18 points in 23 minutes and 26 points in his two appearances this season, maintaining a usage rate and frontcourt touch volume similar to last year. Doug noted that Avdija cleared this points line in 74% of his games last season when playing at least 26 minutes, and expects him to maintain strong production following a career year averaging 24 points per game.

Pistons center Jalen Duren will miss Tuesday’s game due to a hamstring injury.

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